Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.0%
La Coruna
31.0%
Draw
29.1%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
La Coruna
vs
0.86
Burgos
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.513.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.6%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).