Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.0%
Krasnodar
12.6%
Draw
5.4%
Akron
Expected Goals (xG)
3.00
Krasnodar
vs
0.73
Akron
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.571.9%
Over 3.551.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
6.6%
4-1
5.9%
1-1
5.9%
5-0
4.9%
5-1
3.5%
0-0
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).