Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.3%
Kasimpasa
34.6%
Draw
29.1%
Erzurum BB
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Kasimpasa
vs
1.10
Erzurum BB
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.4%
0-0
12.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).