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21 Apr 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.7%
Woking
24.1%
Draw
26.3%
Aldershot

Expected Goals (xG)

1.90

Woking

vs
1.34

Aldershot

Markets

BTTS63.6%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).