Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.0%
Harrogate
21.8%
Draw
62.2%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Harrogate
vs
1.79
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
7.4%
0-0
7.3%
1-0
6.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).