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11 May 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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77.5%
Everton
16.1%
Draw
6.5%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

2.56

Everton

vs
0.66

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS45.4%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.1%
3-0
11.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
7.2%
0-0
5.0%
4-1
4.7%
5-0
3.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).