Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Ferrol
30.3%
Draw
50.2%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Ferrol
vs
1.21
Albacete
Markets
BTTS32.6%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.554.6%
Over 2.527.9%
Over 3.511.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.4%
0-0
15.9%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
11.6%
1-0
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
0-3
4.7%
2-1
3.8%
2-0
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-2
2.3%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).