Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.3%
Birmingham
23.1%
Draw
12.7%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Birmingham
vs
0.72
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
1-0
13.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.3%
0-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).