Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
FC Koln
27.2%
Draw
15.1%
Ulm
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
FC Koln
vs
0.69
Ulm
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).