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25 Oct 2025 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.5%
Bielefeld
27.3%
Draw
42.2%
Elversberg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Bielefeld

vs
1.54

Elversberg

Markets

BTTS57.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
7.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).