Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Ath Madrid
26.6%
Draw
20.7%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Ath Madrid
vs
0.86
Celta
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
10.7%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).