Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.0%
İstanbul Başakşehir
19.5%
Draw
8.5%
Fatih Karagümrük
Expected Goals (xG)
2.52
İstanbul Başakşehir
vs
0.84
Fatih Karagümrük
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
6.9%
4-0
5.8%
0-0
5.3%
4-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).