Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.9%
Sivasspor
34.1%
Draw
36.9%
Samsunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Sivasspor
vs
1.28
Samsunspor
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.3%
0-0
12.4%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).