Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
Trapani
32.9%
Draw
19.5%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Trapani
vs
0.67
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS35.5%
Over 0.583.5%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.512.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
0-0
16.5%
1-1
13.6%
2-0
11.1%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-0
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-1
3.0%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).