Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.7%
Galatasaray
24.9%
Draw
19.4%
Fenerbahce
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Galatasaray
vs
1.26
Fenerbahce
Markets
BTTS65.5%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
1-2
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
1-0
4.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
4-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).