Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.0%
St. Gilloise
20.4%
Draw
10.6%
Gent
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
St. Gilloise
vs
0.68
Gent
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
1-0
12.9%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
4.8%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).