Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.5%
Vizela
15.2%
Draw
78.3%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.46
Vizela
vs
2.22
Porto
Markets
BTTS32.5%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
16.9%
0-1
15.5%
0-3
12.5%
1-2
7.7%
0-4
7.0%
1-1
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
3.4%
1-4
3.2%
0-5
3.1%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).