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17 May 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.8%
Antalyaspor
30.0%
Draw
23.2%
Ad. Demirspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.67

Antalyaspor

vs
1.14

Ad. Demirspor

Markets

BTTS58.2%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.7%
0-1
4.0%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).