Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Almeria
23.5%
Draw
30.8%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Almeria
vs
1.45
Espanol
Markets
BTTS64.4%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.2%
0-0
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
3-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).