Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.7%
Brest
15.4%
Draw
7.9%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
Brest
vs
0.59
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.7%
1-0
12.8%
3-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-1
7.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-0
6.6%
0-0
5.2%
4-1
3.9%
0-1
3.4%
5-0
3.1%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).