⚽ FootballData
2 – 0
HHT: 10CSV

06 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
53.9%
Millwall
27.4%
Draw
18.7%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Millwall

vs
0.83

West Brom

Markets

BTTS45.5%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).