Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.5%
Sandhausen
26.2%
Draw
46.3%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Sandhausen
vs
1.68
Dresden
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.8%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).