Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.0%
Avellino
30.2%
Draw
35.8%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Avellino
vs
1.22
Spal
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).