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AHT: 02CSV

10 Apr 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.9%
Virtus Entella
35.9%
Draw
26.3%
Salernitana

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Virtus Entella

vs
0.77

Salernitana

Markets

BTTS34.6%
Over 0.581.2%
Over 1.553.2%
Over 2.525.4%
Over 3.59.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
18.8%
1-0
15.8%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
6.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).