Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.3%
Ajaccio
25.6%
Draw
53.1%
Dunkerque
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Ajaccio
vs
1.40
Dunkerque
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).