Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.1%
Besiktas
18.0%
Draw
6.9%
Karagumruk
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Besiktas
vs
0.77
Karagumruk
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.543.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.6%
3-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
4-0
6.6%
0-0
5.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-0
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).