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AHT: 02CSV

06 Apr 2019

Oldham

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.6%
Colchester
29.1%
Draw
25.3%
Oldham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Colchester

vs
0.80

Oldham

Markets

BTTS37.5%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.513.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.9%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).