Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.2%
Cittadella
32.3%
Draw
32.5%
Alessandria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Cittadella
vs
1.04
Alessandria
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.2%
1-0
11.6%
0-1
11.0%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).