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29 Sept 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.7%
Halmstad
31.1%
Draw
38.2%
Norrköping

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Halmstad

vs
1.23

Norrköping

Markets

BTTS48.0%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).