Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Wigan
24.9%
Draw
27.2%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Wigan
vs
0.97
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).