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AHT: 00CSV

05 Feb 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.6%
Cartagena
20.4%
Draw
64.9%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Cartagena

vs
1.99

Levante

Markets

BTTS48.1%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-3
6.5%
0-0
5.9%
1-0
5.0%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
0-4
4.0%
1-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).