Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.8%
Aris
13.9%
Draw
9.2%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
2.70
Aris
vs
0.83
Nice
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.568.4%
Over 3.546.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.7%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
8.0%
4-0
6.5%
1-1
6.4%
4-1
5.4%
2-2
3.7%
5-0
3.5%
3-2
3.3%
5-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).