Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Southampton
23.6%
Draw
27.3%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Southampton
vs
1.42
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS65.7%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.0%
1-0
5.9%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
0-1
4.1%
0-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).