Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.0%
Mansfield
16.9%
Draw
13.1%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
Mansfield
vs
0.91
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.3%
3-0
8.3%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
0-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).