Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.6%
Niort
27.2%
Draw
42.2%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Niort
vs
1.18
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
1-0
12.3%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).