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AHT: 02CSV

11 Mar 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.5%
Yeovil
30.2%
Draw
35.3%
Boston Utd

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Yeovil

vs
1.18

Boston Utd

Markets

BTTS48.8%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.7%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).