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09 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.2%
Dover Athletic
27.6%
Draw
42.2%
Maidenhead

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Dover Athletic

vs
1.48

Maidenhead

Markets

BTTS55.3%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).