⚽ FootballData
1 – 4
AHT: 02CSV

30 Apr 2022 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
18.9%
Augsburg
21.9%
Draw
59.3%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Augsburg

vs
2.10

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS59.6%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
8.8%
0-1
7.8%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
0-0
4.7%
2-3
3.9%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).