Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.6%
Boavista
30.1%
Draw
42.3%
Casa Pia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Boavista
vs
1.29
Casa Pia
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
11.2%
1-0
9.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).