Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.8%
Famalicao
24.5%
Draw
56.6%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Famalicao
vs
1.55
Benfica
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).