Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.3%
Aves
27.0%
Draw
18.7%
Belenenses
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Aves
vs
0.66
Belenenses
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.5%
0-0
12.6%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.0%
3-1
3.7%
0-2
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).