Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.5%
Getafe
36.0%
Draw
20.6%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Getafe
vs
0.56
Alaves
Markets
BTTS26.5%
Over 0.577.7%
Over 1.544.8%
Over 2.519.4%
Over 3.56.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.3%
1-0
20.8%
0-1
12.1%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
5.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
2-2
1.6%
4-0
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).