Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.6%
Mantova
25.7%
Draw
48.7%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Mantova
vs
1.75
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
7.9%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.2%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).