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15 Feb 2026 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.0%
Grimsby
22.5%
Draw
32.6%
Wolverhampton Wanderers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Grimsby

vs
1.46

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Markets

BTTS63.2%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
3.9%
0-0
3.7%
1-3
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).