Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.1%
Aberdeen
28.3%
Draw
51.6%
Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Aberdeen
vs
1.43
Hearts
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
11.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.9%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
3.4%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).