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HHT: 21CSV

26 Sept 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.4%
Trapani
29.3%
Draw
19.3%
Virtus Entella

Expected Goals (xG)

1.44

Trapani

vs
0.79

Virtus Entella

Markets

BTTS42.9%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.3%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
11.9%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).