Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Carlisle
25.6%
Draw
45.1%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Carlisle
vs
1.40
Crewe
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.4%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.3%
0-0
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).