Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.8%
Swindon
21.1%
Draw
63.1%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Swindon
vs
1.76
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
7.6%
0-0
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).