Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
Hamilton
30.4%
Draw
29.8%
Alloa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Hamilton
vs
1.02
Alloa
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
11.6%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).