Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Preston
30.4%
Draw
34.2%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Preston
vs
1.15
Watford
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).